Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 1.859783e-02 0.020642 0.022690 0.024891 0.027185 0.029499 0.032006
2025-03-16 1.434705e-02 0.017526 0.020841 0.024525 0.028479 0.032574 0.037112
2025-03-23 1.201623e-02 0.015830 0.019927 0.024589 0.029691 0.035059 0.041091
2025-03-30 1.001914e-02 0.014234 0.018892 0.024307 0.030334 0.036760 0.044059
2025-04-06 8.348303e-03 0.012823 0.017911 0.023946 0.030764 0.038118 0.046550
2025-04-13 6.523017e-03 0.011051 0.016378 0.022840 0.030262 0.038363 0.047739
2025-04-20 5.771074e-03 0.010510 0.016222 0.023258 0.031423 0.040403 0.050856
2025-04-27 4.819796e-03 0.009622 0.015585 0.023058 0.031834 0.041565 0.052963
2025-05-04 3.884140e-03 0.008656 0.014785 0.022613 0.031919 0.042324 0.054587
2025-05-11 3.318841e-03 0.008139 0.014507 0.022761 0.032664 0.043805 0.056995
2025-05-18 2.718226e-03 0.007501 0.014032 0.022636 0.033063 0.044871 0.058915
2025-05-25 2.105471e-03 0.006761 0.013376 0.022254 0.033130 0.045533 0.060359
2025-06-01 1.628747e-03 0.006206 0.012989 0.022257 0.033728 0.046894 0.062704
2025-06-08 1.100585e-03 0.005457 0.012301 0.021870 0.033864 0.047739 0.064489
2025-06-15 7.786585e-04 0.005004 0.011987 0.021933 0.034522 0.049169 0.066921
2025-06-22 4.593767e-04 0.004424 0.011443 0.021666 0.034752 0.050079 0.068740
2025-06-29 2.149862e-04 0.003858 0.010866 0.021323 0.034865 0.050834 0.070364
2025-07-06 2.011216e-05 0.003036 0.009803 0.020275 0.034065 0.050482 0.070682
2025-07-13 1.993969e-07 0.002876 0.009803 0.020670 0.035071 0.052270 0.073479
2025-07-20 NaN 0.002500 0.009396 0.020481 0.035320 0.053143 0.075200
2025-07-27 NaN 0.002072 0.008845 0.020060 0.035257 0.053627 0.076453
2025-08-03 NaN 0.001873 0.008694 0.020200 0.035905 0.054961 0.078695
2025-08-10 NaN 0.001607 0.008376 0.020082 0.036209 0.055871 0.080432